The forecast track shows Florence's forecast path approaching the southeast USA coastline late next week.
Florence intensified yesterday evening, but by 11 a.m. today, it was a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds down to 65 miles per hour. That marked a drop from one day earlier, when Florence suddenly strengthened and sustained winds hit 130 miles per hour - making it the first major hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic season.
If Florence does hit or make it close to the East Coast, it would be a first for a storm in this location. The upper high to the northeast of the storm is strong on all models but it is strongest on the European and weakest on the GFS model (relatively speaking).
The European and American models have shifted westward in the past two days, consistently showing a menacing hurricane coming dangerously close to the Eastern Seaboard.
Hurricane Florence has downgraded to a tropical storm but is expected to regain hurricane status as its path hurls towards the U.S. East Coast in the next week.
"However, with a high level of certainty, the East Coast will begin receiving fore-runner swells from Florence this weekend".
The Bermuda Weather Service warned winds of tropical-storm strength are possible from Monday night, but Florences most significant impact on the island was likely to be rough southeasterly swells producing hazardous surf, especially on the South Shore.
In the meantime, his office is putting precautions in place.
WRAL meteorologist Mike Moss said Saturday that the track of the storm was far from certain but the cone of concern could spell trouble for North Carolina. It's wise to have a plan ready to go in case a storm should strike.
The official forecast calls for strengthening over the weekend and into next week.
In a news release, Pender County Emergency Management advised people to visit www.ReadyNC.org to find a supply checklist and download the ReadyNC app from the statewide Emergency Management office. "If you don't have a hurricane emergency kit, this is the time to assemble one".